Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.010220 0.012324 0.014952 0.018553 0.023490 0.030228 0.040524
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.008010 0.010539 0.014143 0.019938 0.029666 0.046826 0.084015
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.006567 0.009091 0.012985 0.019933 0.033396 0.062538 0.150674
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005581 0.008007 0.011966 0.019602 0.036202 0.079247 0.264123
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004715 0.006915 0.010637 0.018187 0.035946 0.088591 0.396151
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004128 0.006172 0.009739 0.017317 0.036510 0.101600 0.650577
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003759 0.005732 0.009295 0.017247 0.039131 0.126473 1.416044
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003518 0.005478 0.009142 0.017769 0.043849 0.171197 5.348727
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003270 0.005176 0.008837 0.017837 0.047287 0.220735 41.523907
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002989 0.004777 0.008271 0.017095 0.047477 0.251407 2015.543836
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002782 0.004496 0.007908 0.016794 0.049277 0.306510 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002684 0.004409 0.007944 0.017601 0.056477 0.471568 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002592 0.004347 0.008074 0.018899 0.068609 0.939714 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002506 0.004287 0.008209 0.020337 0.084704 2.426932 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002354 0.004072 0.007935 0.020333 0.092337 5.006533 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002204 0.003847 0.007598 0.019992 0.097500 10.713543 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002022 0.003536 0.007004 0.018539 0.091884 12.272255 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001882 0.003304 0.006586 0.017646 0.090483 19.395178 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001790 0.003168 0.006395 0.017573 0.096893 93.142282 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001730 0.003096 0.006359 0.018109 0.111148 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001658 0.002991 0.006220 0.018179 0.121157 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001564 0.002828 0.005906 0.017417 0.119486 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001493 0.002711 0.005707 0.017108 0.123949 NaN NaN